Day one, and the plan is the whole of Rome.
Roads, aqueducts, a Colosseum with a settings page. Eighteen months of building and not one customer has seen any of it. Caesar is very proud. Caesar is also running out of money.
The smart founder sells a poster of Rome.
Same city. One trestle table, one laminated poster, one very good toga. You stand there and watch who stops.
"Rome? Meh. Can you do the Moon?"
Customer one, not stopping
Good. That cost you one poster.
Yes, we can build the Moon. It will be expensive, so let's find out if anyone needs it first. A poster costs next to nothing.
"The Moon's a bit far. Got anything in Dudley?"
Customer two, checking the bus times
Another poster, and this one is cheap to build.
Dudley already has roads and nobody needs a rocket. You are still not offended. You are collecting data, and data is a lot cheaper than bricks.
Then one poster gets a queue.
Nobody predicted Dudley. Nobody needed to, because none of it was built yet. And because you only paid for posters, you still have money left to build it.
This is the moment to pick up the shovel.
You know which place, and it is far cheaper than the Moon. Lay the foundations, then add each new district when people keep asking for it. Rome got built the same way, just slower and with more emperors.
The poster was only ever a test: a cheap way to decide what deserves building. The building itself is real code, and that's where an Onion Sprint comes in.
What the poster actually is.
The poster
A landing page, a clickable prototype, or a button that leads to a coming-soon page.
The stall
Ten real conversations with people who might pay. A survey does not count.
The shrug
Free information. Change the poster and carry on.
The queue
Sign-ups, deposits, pre-orders or a paid pilot. A sign-up is curiosity. A deposit is a lot more convincing.
The money left
Runway. Posters are cheap, so you can still afford the build.
The build
Your MVP, in the order people queue for it.
Part two: Rome lost to Dudley. But what are people actually queueing for? Nobody wants Dudley. They want the zoo.